State Hospital Workforce Deficit Estimator

July 31, 2020 by Christen Aldrich

Filed under COVID-19 for Employers, COVID-19 for the Workforce

Last modified August 3, 2020

This week’s update of the Mullan Institute (MI) State Hospital Workforce Deficit Estimator shows that the supply of intensivists (physicians that work in ICUs) will be strained in eleven states—less than 50% of intensivists will be available after the needs of COVID-19 patients are met—and two additional states will face intensivist shortages, with COVID-19 patients needing the care of more than 100% of the intensivists in the state.

The news media has largely focused on hospitalizations and the danger of depleting the ICU bed supply, but staffing these beds may be an even greater problem. New beds can be set up in other hospital units, or even outside the hospital setting, but it takes time to find highly specialized ICU professionals. Moreover, existing staff in these high COVID settings are likely to be working more shifts and with more intensity, leading to burn out and even infections among health personnel.

The MI State Hospital Workforce Deficit Estimator allows states to adjust the attrition rates and anticipate predicted workforce shortages. The site also provides resources on emergency measures that can be used to quickly to attract additional professionals, including inactive clinicians in their state and clinicians from other states.

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